Monday, March 31, 2014

Update on Nifty Spot

Holding 6658 and the trendline supports, will take Nifty towards our 1st target Zone of 7000. New Black channel may be watched.

Update

Call for the day 1st April, 2014 Updated in Stocks Blog.

F&O Cues

F&O Cues Updated.

Murrey Math and Options data based position - EOD 31st Mar, 2014


Update

Call for the day 31st March, 2014 updated in Stocks Blog & Commodities Blog.

Pre-Market Levels For 31st March, 2014 Working

Trade the levels, Charts can adjust

Nifty Future
6816-6820                                                          Sell All
6799-6807                                                          Sell Zone
6789                                                                   Month T1
6766-6770                                                          Strong Resistance      
6743-6756                                                          Support / Resistance
6725-6736                                                          Strength Above
6713-6721                                                          Bullish Above / Support / Buy Zone
6694-6704                                                          Buy All

Banknifty Future

13123-13142                                                       Sell Zone 
13064                                                                  Month T2
12975-13000                                                       Resistance
12941                                                                  Month T1
12884-12940                                                       Trend decider
12806-12855                                                       Support / resistance
12703-12747                                                       Buy Zone
12555                                                                  Buy All    

Friday, March 28, 2014

Wolf Wave in 1 Min Nifty Spot Chart


Update

6659 on the lower side and 6757 on the upperside have to be watched for 2 days for Nifty Future.  Two significant events lined up next couple of days / next week.  First RBI Policy and second BJP's Election Manifesto. 

Update

6696, 6714 and 6741 are the last three hurdles to 7000.

Pre-Market Levels For 28th March, 2014 Working

Trade the levels, Charts can adjust
Nifty Future
6800                                                                      Sell All
6760                                                                      Sell Zone
6720-6724                                                            Resistance
6691-6705                                                            Buy Holding above / Sell Below
6678                                                                     Crucial support / Weak below
6659-6662                                                            Sell More Below / Important Support
6644                                                                     Buy Zone
6624-6632                                                            Buy All


Banknifty Future
13027-13178                                                        Sell All / 13167  - Week T2
12907-12969                                                        Resistance / Sell Zone
12855                                                                   Sell Below / Buy Above
12773-12788                                                        Crucial Support / Weak Below
12676-12703                                                        Buy Zone
12553-12589                                                        Buy All

Thursday, March 27, 2014

Update

Calls for the day 28/03/2014 updated in Stocks Blog.

Nifty Spot Looking Strong for Much Higher Targets

7058.95  is the target by 15/16th April or by  3/4th April if Minimum 577.6 Points move happens.  The red line must hold for this expected upmove else we may have to calculate differently.


Update

Now 6680 is the Sell Zone for Nify Future.  Whenever the F&O limit is crossed intraday (6649 was it for today), Nifty Future is usually punished the same day or the very next day.

Update

Third set of targets done - 6655 - 6657.1.

Update on Nifty Spot Hourly Chart

The set of targets mentioned in the Hourly chart below. Appraoching the black channel top between 6650-6660
                           Approaching the Strong Resistance line in Daily Chart also.

Update on Nifty Future

As projected in F&O cues sustaining above 6649 may be very difficult for Nifty Future, if it can then some more short covering rally may come.

Wolf Wave update on Hourly Chart of Nifty Spot


Update on Nifty Spot

Black channel top is about 6645 this hour. Hence a profit booking may crop up in next 10 points. Caution needed intraday. 6590-6600 / 6618 Level is support.

Update on Nifty Spot

2nd target range done 6633-6337 now next level is 6655-6657. See chart to refer values. 6637 is the crucial level to give more upsides to Nifty.

Update

Now 6625 and 6618 will support Nifty Future and spot respectively.

Update

Commodities Blog updated with Call for the day.

Update on Nifty Spot

Follow the Black Channel and the Red 0-x Support line. Seeing the Black channel max low for the day may be 6585 and max high 6660 for Nifty Spot. 



Pre-Market Levels For 27th March, 2014 Working

Trade the levels Charts can adjust

Expiry Blue Range for the day for Nifty Future 6540-6663
Nifty Future [6429-6597-6649 as par FnO Cues]
6667-6674                                                            Sell All
6640-6649                                                            Sell Zone / Buy More Above
6619-6527                                                            Key Resistance / Level
6596-6611                                                            Buy Zone
6575-6580                                                            Big Buy Zone / Sell All below
6568                                                                     Buy all
6545-6556                                                            Strong Support

Banknifty Future [12203 - 12521 - 12620 as par FnO Cues]
12748-12836                                                        Sell All / 12776 - Week T1
12713                                                                   Stiff Resistance
12574-12620                                                        Strong Resistance / Key Zone
12521-12527                                                        Weak Below / Support
12446-12469                                                        Support Zone
12237-12320                                                        Buy All

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

Update

Calls for 27th Mar, 2014 Updated in Stocks Blog.

F&O Cues

F&O Cues Updated.

Murrey Math and Options data based position - EOD 26th Mar, 2014


Update

Today's High (6627.45) and Low (6580.6), will be crucial for tomorrow's trade. One more high may be pending tomorrow.

Update

Good pullback 0-x line holding yet.

Update

6560 Nifty Future will be important as Nifty was always thrashed  below it.

Update on Nifty Spot

                                   Caution with longs.

Update on Nifty Spot

6573.9-6623.25 = 49.25 so next move can happen to  6607.55+49.25 = 6656.8 .  The assumption is also that 6607.5 would hold, if Nifty makes another lower low the calculations may be done using that low. We need to see that the raising T/L's are holding.

Update

However our lookout would be break of the support trendline(s), if that happens. Until then continue to ride the long positions.

Nifty Spot

                        Seeing a probable raising wedge? Caution starts from today ?

Some Targets for Nifty Spot

First target range for   Nifty Spot 6617.5  -  6623.6 (Done)
Second target range for  Nifty Spot 6633.58 -  6637 (Not yet Done)
Third target range for   Nifty Spot 6655    -  6657.1 (Not yet Done) / Strong Resistance
Fourth target range for  Nifty Spot 6683.95 -  6691(Not yet Done) / Also 6695 Week T1

Gaps near expiry is not a good thing.  Very Fast and high volatile moves may be seen today.

Nifty Spot

                   Watch out the support trendlines and the resistance line near 6648-6655 for today.

Pre-Market Levels For 26th March, 2014 Working

Nifty Future [6573-6594-6634 as par FnO Cues]
6684                                                                     Sell All
6658-6667                                                            Strong Resistance / 6659 - Sustain Above is crucial
6643-6647                                                            Sell Zone / Buy Above
6622-6629                                                            Key Zone
6600-6611                                                            Support / Buy Zone / Sell Below
6586-6589                                                            Buy All / Sell Below
6574                                                                     Last support

Banknifty Future [12384 - 12464 - 12540- 13028 as par FnO Cues]
12748-12836                                                        Sell All / 12776 - Week T1
12662-12713                                                        Strong Resistance
12581                                                                   Sustaining Above crucial
12574-12583                                                        Key Zone
12469-12535                                                        Support / Buy Zone / Sell Below
12377-12446                                                        Buy All / Sell Below
12194-12241                                                        Last Support 

Tuesday, March 25, 2014

Update

Call for the day Updated in Stocks Blog.

F&O Cues

F&O Cues updated.

Murrey Math and Options data based position - EOD 25th Mar, 2014


Update on Nifty Spot

       A-leg or first leg of 2nd corrective is still on as EZZ- x -??. c-d-a resistance line needs to be watched on the top.

Update on Nifty Spot

Market is likely to attempt a close above 6600 by expiry. If we consider the move upto 6591.5 from 6481.35 i.e approx 110 points as a-leg after diametric-x, then the present corrective is the b-leg undergoing and thereafter c-leg will start. Only a break and close below the 0-x line can cause some worry, which is about 6515 or so this hour. Buy in Dips for expiry it seems. 

Update

6551 is the trend deciding level for the week for Nifty Spot, i.e above - bullish, below - bearish.

Update

Commodity Call for the day Updated in Commodities Blog.

Update on Nifty Spot

                        Watch out the 0-x red line from here, as the key support line.

Update

Reliance and ONGC are taking some hit.

Pre-Market Levels For 25th March, 2014 Working

Trade the levels Charts can adjust
Nifty Future [6494-6529-6576-6601-6618 as par FnO Cues]
6640-6645                                                                 Sell All
6621-6630                                                                 Resistance
6599-6608                                                                 Sell All / Buy Above
6581-6588                                                                 Consolidation Zone
6569-6576                                                                 Buy Zone / Good Support
6555-6558                                                                 Strong Support
6536-6545                                                                 Buy All / Sell below

Banknifty Future [12096 - 12257 - 12392- 12459 - 12491 as par FnO Cues]
12567-12631                                                              Sell All
12466-12489                                                              Sell Zone / Buy Above
12379                                                                         Support
12221-12282                                                              Buy Zone / Support Zone
12162                                                                         Support
12073-12123                                                              Buy All / Weak Below

Monday, March 24, 2014

Update

Stocks Blog updated with calls for the day 25/3/2014.

F&O Cues

F&O Cues Updated.

Murrey Math and Options data based position - EOD 24th Mar, 2014


Update on Nifty Spot

6623.6 should  be crossed by Nifty spot in 8 hours from 6181.35, if this upmove is happening after a diametric. If it doesn't happen this upmove may be part of impending incomplete correction. Prices may move back towards 6400-6450 area once again.

Update on Nifty Spot

6550 to remain crucial for the week, trend deciding level .

Update on Nifty Spot

Now consider the Red trendline as crucial support. Typical signs of a bull market is present in the upmove. Sustaining above 6600 will be hell of a job and similarly 6400 should hold.


Complex Situation in Nifty Spot

Possibility of an X-wave completion earlier at 6432.7 as well as last week  at 6481.35 is also there if  prices strengthens past 6523 it may be postive.  However there may be continuation of a ranged trading for sometime.

Pre-Market Levels For 24th March, 2014 Working

Trade the levels Charts can adjust
Nifty Future [6476-6549-6573-6601 as par FnO Cues]
6600                                                                     Sell All / Buy Above
6572-6577                                                            Sell Zone / Strong Resistance
6545-6554                                                            Resistance
6536-6538                                                            More Strength Above
6515-6519                                                            Strong Holding
6493-6502                                                            Big Support
6463-6476                                                            Big Buy Zone / Sell All below


Banknifty Future [11914 - 12153 - 12197- 12241 - 12292 as par FnO Cues]
12469                                                                   Sell All
12378                                                                   Sell All / Huge Resistance
12240-12254                                                        Strong Resistance / Buy More Above
12187                                                                   Resistance
12098-12143                                                        Support Zone
11966-12037                                                        Strong Support / Buy Zone
11831-11858                                                        Buy All

Update

Today is Vix expiry so be very cautious in Nifty trading.

Saturday, March 22, 2014

Update on Nifty Spot

Diametric e-leg doesn't have any time restriction and likely price targets can be 6453 and 6378. Most likely it should complete somewhere close to 6453.  The structure is quite complex and needs confirmation.  Keep an eye on oscillator oversold situation.



Update

Derivatives data is not suggesting that expiry will be much above 6500 level, unless some major positive news comes up.  Keep an eye on the falling wedge kind of structure to see if any breakout happens otherwise Nifty may keep slowing keep drifting down painfully as long as it wants.

Update on Nifty Spot

OBV is highly Ovebought at this juncture in daily and weekly and prices are at the top of bollinger band.  prices may trade between  6330-6630  range for some time.  Stocks trading is much more reliable option.




Friday, March 21, 2014

Murrey Math and Options data based position - EOD 21st Mar, 2014


Update

Nifty should do some upmove next week for sure. However it has disgusted everybody on the field.

Update

EOD close above 6523.65 will be proof of bouncing off the important 0-b line.

Update on Nifty Spot

                x-wave in the form of diamond diametric, after the elangated ZZ?


Update

Commodities Blog Updated with call for the day.

Pre-Market Levels For 21st March, 2014 Working

Nifty Future [6460- 6489 - 6570 - 6595 as par FnO Cues]
6602                                                                 Sell All
6563-6574                                                        Stiff Resistance
6539-6553                                                        Strong Resistance
6529                                                                 Key Number for the day
6514-6524                                                        Support / Resistance / Buy Zone / Sell Below
6479-6482                                                        Buy All
6461                                                                 Big Support

Banknifty Future [11988 - 12041 - 12267 - 12349 as par FnO Cues]
12289-12337                                                    Sell All / Huge Resistance
12161-12222                                                    Big Resistance / More Strength Above
12072-12134                                                    Resistance / Strength Above
11960                                                               Strong Support
11760-11831                                                    Buy All

Thursday, March 20, 2014

Update

Stocks Blog updated with calls for the day 21/03/2014.

Update

EOD Close or running below 6470 Nifty Spot may lead to 6421.  Nifty Future may exhibit some weakness below 6460 only.

F&O Cues

F&O Cues Updated.

Murrey Math and Options data based position - EOD 20th Mar, 2014


Update on Nifty Spot

Crucial structural point now after testing 0-b.

Update

Sesex, Nifty at 0-b line.

Update on Nifty Spot

                It may look positive from here if Second trendline i.e. 0-b holds from here. Possibilty of an inverted H&S is also                     probable visually.  Please watch out 0-b line. Time wise one more day may be required to complete the                                structure and the lebelling may change accordingly.

Update

Commodities Blog updated with call for the day.

Note on Nifty Spot

Yesterday was an NR4/NR7/NR14 day and following may be the price implication for Nifty Spot.
We have seen earlier the an NR day is often followed by another NR day and the breakout or breakdown often happens the next day too.

Reference Values for Nifty Spot
Buy > 6,543 Target 6,619 
Sell < 6,504 Target 6,428 

Pre-Market Levels For 20th March, 2014 Working

Nifty Future [6476- 6524 - 6572 - 6621 as par FnO Cues]
6636                                                                             Sell All
6614-6623                                                                   Stiff Resistance
6609.30                                                                       Bear S/L
6602                                                                            Sell Zone
6563-6570                                                                   Resistance Zone / Weak below
6542-6549                                                                   Support Zone / More Weakness Below
6534                                                                            Good Support / Trend Decider
6514-6521                                                                   Weak Below
6597-6509                                                                   Strong Support 
6491.10                                                                       Bull S/L
6476-6481                                                                   Buy All / Sell More Below                                   

Banknifty Future [11943 - 12172 - 12325 - 12643 as par FnO Cues]
12469                                                                         Strong Resistance
12339-12379                                                              Resistance Zone
12310                                                                         Resistance
12255                                                                        Trend Decider
12185-12220                                                             Support Zone
12047                                                                        Weak Below
11953                                                                        Strong Support
11794-11831                                                             Buy All

Wednesday, March 19, 2014

Update

               Move has remained in channel since beginning.

Update

Call for the day updated in the stocks blog.

F&O Cues

F&O Cues Updated.

Murrey Math and Options data based position - EOD 19th Mar, 2014


Nifty Spot Hourly - tentative count


Update on Nifty Spot

Previous two Highest closes on daily basis has been 6537.25 and 6535.75.  No  surprise Nifty is struggling as it is very close to the values.

Update

Commodities Blog updated with Call for the day.

Update

Calls for the day updated in the Stocks Blog.

Pre-Market Levels For 19th March, 2014 Working

Nifty Future [6501- 6577 - 6672 as par FnO Cues]
6633-6643                                                                      Sell All
6600-6605                                                                      Stiff Resistance
6582-6592                                                                      Resistance / Support / Consolidation
6573                                                                               Weak Below
6546-6554                                                                      Buy All


Banknifty Future [12094 - 12225 - 12563 as par FnO Cues]
12615                                                                             Week T1
12469-12476                                                                  Sell Zone
12333-12377                                                                  Big Resistance
12283-12318                                                                  Resistance / consolidation
12185                                                                             Weak Below
12067-12124                                                                  Support / Buy Zone

Tuesday, March 18, 2014

Update

If 6450 Holds(Including the 2nd trendline or 0-b line), Nifty will be in x-wave still unless crosses 6563 and closes above it. If 6450 breaks from here we may be in the b-leg of the 2nd corrective.  Picture may get clearer in 1/2 days.

F&O Cues

F&O Cues Updated.

F&O Cues

F&O Cues Updated.

Murrey Math and Options data based position - EOD 18th Mar, 2014


Sunday, March 16, 2014

Bearish Wolf Wave in Nifty Spot Hourly Chart

Break below 1-3 line will be weakness, followed by break below 2-4 Line and target will be 1-4 Line. As of now sustaining below 6480-6490 area may bring in weakness. On the higher side about 6600 and 6650 are the next two targets.



Pre-Market Levels For 18th March, 2014 Working

Nifty Future [6488 - 6561 as par FnO Cues]
6623                                                                           Sell All
6611                                                                           Resistance
6587-6594                                                                  Stiff Resistance / Sell Zone / Buy or Hold above
6574                                                                           Sell Zone / Buy or hold above
6552                                                                           Key Level
6534-6546                                                                  Consolidation Zone
6516                                                                           Good Suport
6495-6500                                                                  Weak below
6478-6488                                                                   Big Support
6461-6470                                                                   Buy All / Sell All below

Banknifty Future [11806 - 12169 as par FnO Cues]
12334-12377                                                             Sell All
12318                                                                        Resistance
12259-12266                                                             Sell All / Buy More Above
12122-12188                                                             Support / Resistance
12050-10071                                                             Consolidation / Support
11913-11954                                                             Buy All / Sell All below

Saturday, March 15, 2014

Update

Stocks blog Updated for weekly values.

Update

Commodities blog Updated for weekly values.

Friday, March 14, 2014

F&O Cues

F&O Cues Updated.

Murrey Math and Options data based position - EOD 14th Mar, 2014


Update

Fingers crossed.  likely to be a X-wave, 2nd channel support line didn't break. The bias even hasn't changed yet ? Let us watch for a couple of days.

Update

During first leg up of 1st corrective all falls lasted about 7-8 days. This may turn out to be a good clue for us.

Update

First T/Lgot broken and price is approaching Second Trendline.  If second trendline is also broken then X-wave is out of contention.

Update

Today there could be a bias change if Nifty is able to close below 6476.65 i.e break in the uptrend.

Update

Is it an x-wave or b-leg after a-leg of the 2nd corrective or is it going to be a traingle in the 2nd corrective first leg itself  ?  Let us wait and watch.

Pre-Market Levels For 14th March, 2014 Working

Nifty Future [6471 - 6543 as par FnO Cues]
6588-6593                                                                       Sell All
6569-6577                                                                       Sell Zone
6542-6551                                                                       Strong Resistance
6521-6529                                                                       Weak Below / Strong Above
6486                                                                                Strength Above
6470                                                                                Buy Here or Holding / Sell All below
6452-6462                                                                       Big Support / Sell Below
6452-6462                                                                       Big Support / Sell Below
6541                                                                                Last Support

Banknifty Future [11655 - 12240 as par FnO Cues]
12266                                                                               Sell All / Buy More Above
12200-12223                                                                    Sell All / Buy More Above
12047-12086                                                                    Consolidation Zone
11936-11985                                                                    Strong Support / Weak Below
11820-11880                                                                    Strong Support
11729-11788                                                                    Buy Zone
11666-11696                                                                    Buy All / Sell All below

Thursday, March 13, 2014

Update

Call for the day 14th March,2014 updated in Stocks Blog.

F&O Cues

F&O Cues Updated.

Murrey Math and Options data based position - EOD 13th Mar, 2014


Update on Wolf wave

               6536.95 Point 5 broke and gave way to the fall.

Bullish Wolf wave in 1 Min Chart of Nifty Spot

                  If point 5 holds target should be 1-4 trendline.

Nifty Spot Intraday Update

First corrective a-b-c inside second higher level corrective [a]-leg got over already.  Presently we may be in an x-wave thereafter. Nifty Trading in a range therafter. Breakout or breakdown above or below this range will throw more light in Nifty's planned future moves. The trendline supports are clearly there, holding them will ensure continuation of the uptrend.  Since the introduction of VIX future trading there has been extremely high volatility in Nifty, don't know if it would be good for the small traders.  Trade the levels, charts can adjust.



Update

Commodity Call for the day updated.

Update

India Vix Future can bring in more trouble for the retail traders. 

Update

Call for the day updated in Stocks Blog.

Pre-Market Levels For 13th March, 2014 Working

Nifty Future [6339 - 6757 as par FnO Cues]

6623                                                                           Sell All / Hold Above
6606-6612                                                                  Sell Zone
6581-6593                                                                  Sell Zone
6557-6562                                                                  Stiff Resistance
6540-6545                                                                  Crucial / Buy above / Sell below
6531                                                                           Crucial for Week
6521-6526                                                                  Support / Buy Zone / Weak below
6486                                                                           Crucial for the week
6464-6476                                                                  Strong Buy Zone / Sell All below
6462                                                                           Buy All / Sell All below
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Banknifty Future [11703 - 12474 as par FnO Cues]
12321-12328                                                              Sell All
12112-12166                                                              Resistance Zone
12001-12074                                                              Consolidation Zone
11909-11936                                                              Big Support / Weak below
11723-11775                                                              Buy All / Sell All Below
11579                                                                         Key for week

Wednesday, March 12, 2014

F&O Cues

F&O Cues Updated.

Murrey Math and Options data based position - EOD 12th Mar, 2014


Update

Chances are there for price to oscillate between  6450-6620 Nifty spot for some time. Structure will be clear soon.

Update

Time specified yesterday worked perfectly well!

Update

Time restriction will be over after this hour.

Update on Nifty Future

6550 base is getting built for Nifty Future. This will be the level to watch out for in future.

Pre-Market Levels For 12th March, 2014 Working

Nifty Future [6321 - 6757 as par FnO Cues]
6581-6593                                                                 Sell All
6562-6568                                                                 Strong Resistance
6555                                                                          Buy above / Sell below
6532-6542                                                                 Strength Above / Weak below
6521                                                                          Support / Sell Below
6504-6514                                                                 Support
6497                                                                          EOD importatnt
6481-6488                                                                 Buy All
6451                                                                          Sell All below

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Banknifty Future [11757 - 12464 as par FnO Cues]
12321-12328                                                             Sell All
12268                                                                        Resistance
12201-12235                                                             Stiff Resistance
12191                                                                        Buy Above / Sell Below
12013-12060                                                             Support Zone
11905-11970                                                             Big Support
11823                                                                        EOD important
11652-11729                                                             Buy All

Tuesday, March 11, 2014

F&O Cues

F&O Cues updated.

Murrey Math and Options data based position - EOD 11th Mar, 2014


Update of Nifty Spot

About 6 more hours atleast logically required for completion of probable iv th wave of larger c-wave.  6600 will be big resistance i.e. EOD close above 6600 will be very difficult for a day or more than 1 day. Trendlines needs to be watched to identify completion of first a-leg of the 2nd corrective. Holding the earlier achieved targets i.e. Target 1 6496.61 (Done) /  Target 2 - 6529.78 (Done) crucial.  Trade the levels, charts can adjust.

Update

Market oblized with the expected correction / pause.

Update

Today onwards this kind of volatility may be expected on every tuesday. Why ? Because tuesdays will be the expiry for the India Vix Future contracts.

Pre-Market Levels For 11th March, 2014 Working

Nifty Future [5893 - 6808 as par FnO Cues]
6616-6626                                                                 Sell All
6601-6608                                                                 Strong Resistance                                  
6588                                                                          Resistance
6567                                                                          Buy and Hold Above / Sell Below
6547-6553                                                                 Support Zone / Weak Below / Sell More Below
6533                                                                          Support
6502-6512                                                                 Strong Support / Buy Zone
6484                                                                          Buy All

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Banknifty Future [10903 - 12595 as par FnO Cues]
12437                                                                       Sell All
12364                                                                       Stiff Resistance
12260-12321                                                            Sell Zone
12131-12158                                                            Support / Resistance
12046-12068                                                            Good Support 
11976-12012                                                            Big Support / Weak below
11936                                                                       Buy all / Sell below
10881-10918                                                            Support
10698-10717                                                            Big Buy Zone