Friday, December 13, 2013
Nifty Spot EOD Chart
Nifty at a crucial juncture diametric f-leg should go below 6102(Nifty Spot) minimum and derivatives position is suggesting Nifty Future will remain only weak below 6200 (difficult to sustain below too). Some news may be pending because market could have discounted the bad news of IIP or Inflation by today. Market made lower low till last hour.
Word of Caution
Slight Caution before the weekend. Exit all positions since Nifty Future may be closing below 6200. Play safe till monday?
Update
Market generally makes one sick and tired and often disgusted before a trend is changed. Patience is the key. If it doesn't happen today we will wait it out for Monday.
Observation
Market will do things at it's own pace and wish. We can see an upmove is coming, whether today or on Monday is the question. Nifty future has less chance to sustain below 6200. Positional Longs safe. With the kind of open interest Nifty has developed, the range may remain 6200-6400 for Nifty Future. For bigger trending moves we need reduction of open interest considerably.
Reply to the questions
Ravi, longs are quite safe here or probably in the closing hour after 2.30 P.M. One should be prepared for minor whipsaws. Raman, it is based on the observation and analysis of the entire series derivatives data of the FII's.
Update
Nifty and Banknifty both have done their minimum expected Weekly target points already as of now, today. The hourly oscillators are quite oversold. We can expect an upmove in the late half of the day, near closing hours.
Observation.
Market is looking to give money only to the people who have money these days. No Liveraged positions are likely to make money because most of the moves are taking place either towards very early (First 15 Mins) or Last hour or 30 Mins. Hence there are only 2 possible trades either at 9.15 A.M or 2.30-3 P.M! Any comments ?
Observation
Seeing the derivatives data it may be unlikely for Nifty Future to sustain below 6200 this month.
Intraday Activity Seen
There has been a sudden interest and activity in Banknifty 12000 Call Area. Some postion building for 12000 (in Next Month?) Banknifty won't be bad it seems.
Pre-Market Levels for Nifty and Banknifty Futures - 13th Dec, 2013 working
Nifty Future
6315 Fair Value - Near
6306 Sell All
6288-6298 Stiff Resistance / Sell Zone
6282 Fair Value - Series
6244-6252 Strong Resistance / Weak below / Strength Above
6227 Key for the Day
6219 Weak below
6204-6213 Very Strong Support / Weakness below / Buy Zone
6181-6188 Buy Zone
6169 Strong Support
Bank Nifty Future
12013-12038 Sell All
11788-11845 Strong Resistance
11796 Fair Value - Near
11700-11743 Resistance / Weak Below / Strong above
12600-11669 Big Support / Resistance
11583 Fair Value - Series
11503-11563 Good Support
11431-11457 Strong Support
11341-11355 Stronger Support
11214-11238 Big Support / Weak Below
6315 Fair Value - Near
6306 Sell All
6288-6298 Stiff Resistance / Sell Zone
6282 Fair Value - Series
6244-6252 Strong Resistance / Weak below / Strength Above
6227 Key for the Day
6219 Weak below
6204-6213 Very Strong Support / Weakness below / Buy Zone
6181-6188 Buy Zone
6169 Strong Support
Bank Nifty Future
12013-12038 Sell All
11788-11845 Strong Resistance
11796 Fair Value - Near
11700-11743 Resistance / Weak Below / Strong above
12600-11669 Big Support / Resistance
11583 Fair Value - Series
11503-11563 Good Support
11431-11457 Strong Support
11341-11355 Stronger Support
11214-11238 Big Support / Weak Below
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